Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Henry Wrigley Discussion

Yesterday morning Kevin posted his Top 30 Rays Prospects list and the world nearly came to an end. No, not the Korean conflict. You see Kevin omitted Henry Wrigley. The Obama administration quickly issued a tersely worded statement condemning the omission and other nations joined in expressing their outrage. In order to restore peace this holiday weekend, lets move the discussion of Wrigley here. This will allow the comments in that thread to focus on important things like how using cuss words in a comment makes you look smarter, questioning Kevin's sexuality, and reminding us how stupid we are.

The Rays drafted Wrigley 14th round of the 2005 draft out of San Mateo JC. The 24 year-old (August 9, 1986) split last season between the Charlotte Stone Crabs in the Florida State League and the Montgomery Biscuits in the Southern League. Here are his career offensive stats:
Year   Age    Teams   AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS GDP
2006    19     Prin  188  22  47  9  1  5  26  5  2  7  39 .250 .273 .388 .661   9
2007    20       HV  243  28  57 10  3  3  33 10  3 20  37 .235 .301 .337 .639   4
2008    21    Colum  404  45 101 13 10  7  60  7  3 24  62 .250 .292 .384 .676  14
2009    22  2 Teams  437  46 103 31  3 10  60  8  5 14  74 .236 .258 .389 .647   8
2009    22       BG  177  20  39 16  1  4  17  3  4  5  30 .220 .245 .390 .634   4
2009    22     Char  260  26  64 15  2  6  43  5  1  9  44 .246 .267 .388 .656   4
2010    23  2 Teams  514  66 139 25  4 21  83  6  3 31  91 .270 .312 .457 .769  19
2010    23     Char  260  35  76 13  3 12  46  5  2 19  37 .292 .343 .504 .847  10
2010    23     Mont  254  31  63 12  1  9  37  1  1 12  54 .248 .280 .409 .690   9
5 Seasons           1786 207 447 88 21 46 262 36 16 96 303 .250 .289 .400 .689  54
The average age of batters in the Florida State League in 2010 was 22.7, and the overall league BA/OBP/SLG/OPS was .255/.324/.364/.688. The average age of batters in the Southern League in 2010 was 24.4 and the league numbers were .263/.337/.390/.727.

Defensively he's played both corner infield and corner outfield positions. Here are his fielding stats:
Year      Age         Team/POS   G   Ch   PO   A  E  DP  Fld% RF/G
2006       19     Princeton 1B  40  354  330  22  2  32  .994 8.80
2007       20 Hudson Valley 3B   6   13    3   8  2   0  .846 1.83
2007       20 Hudson Valley 1B  62  557  512  35 10  37  .982 8.82
2008       21      Columbus 1B 110 1054  974  71  9  88  .991 9.50
2009       22 Bowling Green RF  17   29   27   1  1   0  .966 1.65
2009       22 Bowling Green LF  15   19   17   0  2   0  .895 1.13
2009       22 Bowling Green 3B   6   22    5  14  3   1  .864 3.17
2009       22 Bowling Green 1B   6   52   47   3  2   5  .962 8.33
2009       22     Charlotte LF   7   21   20   0  1   0  .952 2.86
2009       22     Charlotte 3B   6   16    2  12  2   1  .875 2.33
2009       22     Charlotte 1B  56  465  423  39  3  45  .994 8.25
2010       23     Charlotte RF   4    9    8   1  0   0 1.000 2.25
2010       23     Charlotte LF  19   22   21   1  0   0 1.000 1.16
2010       23     Charlotte 3B  22   54    8  42  4   3  .926 2.27
2010       23     Charlotte 1B  10   87   79   7  1  10  .989 8.60
2010       23    Montgomery RF   1    0    0   0  0         0 0.00
2010       23    Montgomery LF   3    1    1   0  0   0 1.000 0.33
2010       23    Montgomery 3B  40  111   32  75  4   6  .964 2.68
2010       23    Montgomery 1B  17  163  149  13  1  13  .994 9.53
5 Seasons                      447 3049 2658 344 47 241  .985 6.72
1B (5 seasons)              1B 301 2732 2514 190 28 230  .990 8.98
3B (3 seasons)              3B  80  216   50 151 15  11  .931 2.51
LF (2 seasons)              LF  44   63   59   1  3   0  .952 1.36
RF (2 seasons)              RF  22   38   35   2  1   0  .974 1.68
Statcorner lists Wrigley as the 3rd most valuable hitter on the Stone Crabs by batting runs above average (behind Vogt and Fronk):
Player             PA   wOBA   bRAA
Anderson, Leslie   89  0.342    1.4 
Baldelli, Rocco    47  0.312   -0.5 
Beckham, Tim      533  0.336    5.5 
Bortnick, Tyler    38  0.349    0.8 
Fields, Matt       18  0.290   -0.5 
Fronk, Reid       450  0.367   16.5 
Hall, Matthew     301  0.242  -20.6 
Hawpe, Brad         6  0.397    0.4 
Jefferies, Jake   402  0.275  -16.9 
Joyce, Matt        40  0.519    6.6 
Kang, Kyeong      300  0.297   -6.9 
Kapler, Gabe       14  0.181   -1.7 
Luna, Omar         26  0.114   -4.6 
Murrill, Chris    175  0.266   -8.6 
O'Malley, Shawn    34  0.435    3.1 
Pena, Carlos        3  0.612    0.8 
Royster, Ryan      37  0.271   -1.7 
Scelfo, Anthony   295  0.311   -3.4 
Sexton, Greg      391  0.326    0.8 
Sheridan, Michael 452  0.313   -4.3 
Spring, Matt      111  0.316   -0.8 
Sweeney, Matthew  137  0.360    4.3 
Thomas, Mark        5  0.327    0.0 
Velasquez, Isaias 501  0.327    1.1 
Vogt, Stephen     407  0.417   32.4 
Williams, Shawn    19  0.360    0.6 
Wrigley, Henry    281  0.380   13.4
Statcorner has him with negative value in Montgomery by bRAA, but the team as a whole was pretty weak:
Player             PA   wOBA   bRAA 
Albernaz, Craig   181  0.310   -4.0 
Anderson, Drew M. 419  0.336   -0.2 
Anderson, Leslie  204  0.361    4.2 
Ashley, Nevin     391  0.333   -1.2 
Cipriano, Cody    273  0.351    3.5 
De La Cruz, Chris 367  0.322   -4.5 
Eldridge, Rashad  381  0.333   -1.1 
Fields, Matt      347  0.295  -12.3 
Folli, Mike        80  0.241   -6.5 
Furmaniak, J.J.    45  0.339    0.1 
Lobaton, Jose      28  0.339    0.1 
Luna, Omar          8  0.224   -0.8 
Matulia, John     524  0.321   -6.7 
Nowak, Chris      266  0.342    1.2 
O'Malley, Shawn   169  0.264  -10.4 
Paxton, Ian         8  0.340    0.0 
Royster, Ryan      42  0.217   -4.3 
Ruiz, Jose        106  0.340    0.3 
Salem, Emeel      586  0.322   -7.0 
Sexton, Gregory   134  0.339    0.4 
Spring, Matt       74  0.286   -3.2 
Strait, Cody      150  0.258   -9.9 
Sweeney, Matthew  179  0.253  -13.0 
Wrigley, Henry    271  0.326   -2.4
One last thing, his career batting average on balls in play (babip), with one standing out:
2006      Princeton    .286
2007  Hudson Valley    .263
2008       Columbus    .276
2009  Bowling Green    .243
2009      Charlotte    .271
2010      Charlotte    .300
2010     Montgomery    .277
There are the numbers. Feel free to add any others you feel are important to consider. While he had a great first half in Charlotte last season, he's a career .250/.289/.400 hitter. To me those are not Top 30 prospect numbers for a corner IF/OFer.

He won't be on my list, which will be posted at some point this weekend. But feel free to try to change my mind! And have a nice holiday weekend.

5 comments:

  1. his last 2 years look awsome to me. he seems very durable too. so whats the big argument for?

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  2. .236/.258/.389 in 2009 is awesome to you?

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  3. Kevin, maybe you should write a five page report for these people on how the second stat is OBP and why having a .258 or a low 300's is not good/awful. And look at that awful slugging in 2009.

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  4. I can add in league or team averages for all his seasons if that would help, I just used 2010's cause they were handy.

    One thing I want to make clear, this is nothing against Henry as a person, from what I've heard (from more than one person), he's a great guy and teammate. I (and Kevin) are simply responding to the over-the-top criticism of Kevin leaving him off his list.

    And quite frankly I wouldn't have a problem/huge disagreement with someone who put him on a top 30 list (somewhere in the 20s lets say), based on a feeling he's started to put it all together (like a personal breakout guy). That's fine, just like Kevin (and I will) have guys who haven't performed great yet on the field but we think they will, such as recent high draft picks and the young international guys Kevin listed (Guevara, Perez).

    What I have a problem with is saying he's already THERE. A hunch that due to 2010 he's gonna have a great future, fine, that's an opinion. Insisting Kevin is an idiot for not seeing how he's already deserving, wrong.

    Maybe that's what some of you are saying and I'm missing it, but taking shots at Kevin personally and cussing, I don't think I'm missing it.

    I do find it interesting that just as we are discussing Wrigley, another guy who is basically the same age and plays the same position at the same level (Canzler was at AA all of 2010, Wrigley for 1/2 the year), was available for all 30 teams to sign. And Canzler had a much better overall season last year! Now I don't know much about Canzler, maybe he's available because he committed some heinous crime or something, but I assume not. Just odd timing.

    Anyway, if a very similar player is available for nothing, and he was better in 2010, I don't think that helps the Wrigley-is-Top-30 argument.

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  5. the money lies with the RBIs. and it seems he has a heck of a lot of them the past 2 years.

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